Confidential
Private Equity Investment Memo

Project Ozark

Lapel’s Laundromat Franchise Development — Greater Boston
DateMay 07, 2026
Model DateMarch 31, 2026
Prepared ByTOC-23 Investment Team
Asset25-Store Lapel’s Laundromat Franchise Portfolio across New England — anchor-funded Phase 1 (7 Greater Boston locations) followed by institutional Phase 2 (18 locations)
SponsorRichard Vazza (Lead, 60%), TOC-23 (Co-Sponsor, 25%), Anchor Investors (GP, 15%)
MarketGreater Boston, MA (Phase 1, 7 stores) — New England expansion incl. North Shore, MetroWest, Worcester, Providence (Phase 2, 18 stores)
SectorLaundromat / Laundry Services — Tech-Enabled Franchise
Investment TypeGround-Up Development (Equity) — Anchor Investors join General Partnership with 15% of fees and carry across all 25 stores
Total Project Value (Base Case, 25 Stores)$39.0M Total — $27.5M Equity + $11.5M Debt
Anchor Capital Required (Phase 1)$7.3M Equity + $2.9M Debt = $10.2M Total · Funds 7 anchor stores & establishes operating record
Phase 2 Capital (Institutional, 18 Stores)$20.1M Equity + $8.6M Debt = $28.8M Total · Raised against Phase 1 operating record
East Boston (Founding Asset)$600,000 all-cash acquisition — vs. $1.1M standard cash equity = 46.4% discount, $519,047 of capital savings
Cost Per Standard Location (Phase 1 & 2)$1.6M all-in · $1.1M cash + $479,592 debt at 30% LTV
Store Size3,558 sqft per location
Target Hold Period10 Years
Exit EBITDA Multiple7.00x
Anchor Net Levered IRR (LP + GP)20.8% · combined Phase 1 LP returns plus 15% of fees and carry across all 25 stores
Anchor Net Levered MoM (LP + GP)4.27x · on $7.3M of Phase 1 anchor capital
Capital Raise Deadline (Phase 1)June 1, 2026
Funding Target (Phase 1)Q2 2026

Financial Highlights

Anchor Capital (Phase 1)
$7.3M
7 Anchor Stores · Unlocks 25-Store GP
Total Capital (Phases 1 + 2)
$27.5M
25 Stores · Phase 2 = Institutional
Anchor Net Levered IRR
20.8%
LP + GP Combined · 25-Store Base
Anchor Net Levered MoM
4.27x
LP + GP Combined · 25-Store Base
Revenue / Location
$925,704
Year 1 Stabilized
Net Income Margin
23.7%
2028 Projected (Stabilized)
Anchor Capital Payback
6.2 yrs
Q1 2032 · Cumulative Distributions
Anchor GP Stake
15%
Of Fees & Carry Across All 25 Stores
**Financial Highlights** Anchor Capital's projected net levered IRR of 20.8% on its $7.3M Phase 1 investment significantly outperforms typical franchise development benchmarks of 12-15%, reflecting the premium returns available in necessity-based real estate with strong demographic tailwinds. The 4.27x money multiple over 6.2 years demonstrates compelling risk-adjusted returns for a defensive laundromat concept that benefits from recession-resistant cash flows and limited competition. Anchor's strategic 15% GP stake across all 25 stores provides meaningful upside participation beyond the initial capital commitment, creating a hybrid investment profile that combines direct real estate returns with fee-based income streams. This structure positions Anchor to benefit from both operational performance and portfolio scaling effects as the franchise system expands.

Executive Summary

TOC-23 is pleased to present Project Ozark — a direct investment opportunity to develop, manage, and operate a 25-location Lapel’s franchise laundromat portfolio across New England over five years, representing $39.0M of total project value ($27.5M equity + $11.5M debt at the store level). The opportunity is structured for Anchor Investors who fund the Phase 1 capital raise to join the General Partnership alongside Vazza (60%) and TOC-23 (25%), capturing 15% of all sponsor fees and 15% of carry/promote across the entire 25-store portfolio. Phase 1 capital raise targets June 1, 2026 with funding in Q2 2026.

The lead sponsor is Richard Vazza, an experienced real estate developer with deep roots in the Greater Boston market. TOC-23 has the opportunity to partner with Mr. Vazza following the unexpected passing of his longtime financial partner, John Sullivan of Sullivan Auto Group, in December 2025. Mr. Sullivan served as Mr. Vazza’s financier, college roommate, and close friend, creating an opening for a new capital partner.

The defining feature of this opportunity is the structural elevation of Phase 1 anchors into the General Partnership. Phase 1 anchors deploy $7.3M of equity (net of a 30% per-store debt recapitalization completed after one year of stabilized operations) to build seven anchor stores in Greater Boston, and in exchange become a 15% partner in the GP across the entire 25-store program — capturing 15% of fees and 15% of carry on stores they did not have to fund. The combined LP-plus-GP economics on the anchor's $7.31M of capital target a 20.8% net levered IRR and 4.27x net MoM over the 10-year hold, with capital payback in Q1 2032.

The first location in East Boston is already operational, with its first cash-out in May 2025 and first cash flow in July 2025. We have negotiated the East Boston acquisition with the Sullivan estate at $600,000 all-cash — a 46.4% discount versus the $1.1M standard cash equity required for a templated location, representing roughly $519,047 of capital savings. The acquisition carries no debt, providing an unlevered cash-flowing anchor asset from day one. The remaining six anchor locations — Quincy, Dorchester, Roslindale, Waltham, Somerville, and Everett — are templated for development over the next three years, each following the proven East Boston model.

Investment Highlights

25-Store Base Case: $39.0M of total project value across New England over five years — a programmatic franchise platform, not a single-deal opportunity
Anchor Net Levered Returns (LP + GP): 20.8% net IRR / 4.27x net MoM on $7.3M of Phase 1 capital, including 15% of fees and carry across all 25 stores
Capital Payback in Q1 2032: approximately 6.2 years from initial commitment to full anchor capital recovery
Market Capacity Confirmed: 25 stores represents 14–18% of estimated Greater Boston laundromat-dependent demand; Providence (Phase 3) provides ~12 additional stores of headroom (see Market Capacity)
Founding-Location Discount: East Boston acquired all-cash at $600,000 vs. $1.1M standard cash equity (46.4% discount, $519,047 of savings); zero debt on the founding asset
Proven Operating Model: East Boston operational and generating cash flow since July 2025
Experienced Sponsor: Richard Vazza brings extensive real estate development experience in Greater Boston
Established Brand: Lapel’s franchise provides technology-enabled equipment, brand recognition, and operational support
Recession-Resistant: Laundry services are a necessity-based business with stable demand
Templated Rollout: Standardized approach reduces execution risk across all 25 locations
Conservative Underwriting: 4 turns/day base case

This investment targets the fragmented laundromat sector through a multi-location franchise strategy anchored by operational proof-of-concept at East Boston, which begins cash distributions in May 2025. The thesis capitalizes on three defensive pillars: recession-resistant essential services, stable cash-on-cash returns from high-frequency customer usage (4 daily turns), and diversified revenue streams including wash-dry-fold, vending, and ancillary services. Our phased deployment approach de-risks execution by validating operational metrics and unit economics at the operational location before systematic rollout across six additional Greater Boston markets. The strategy leverages moderate debt financing (30% LTV) to enhance equity returns while maintaining conservative leverage given the asset class's predictable cash flow characteristics.

25-Store Portfolio Strategy

Project Ozark is structured as a phased capital deployment from 7 to 25 locations. Phase 1 deploys $7.3M of anchor equity to build out the first 7 stores in Greater Boston, anchored by the discounted East Boston acquisition. Once these locations have demonstrated the operating model at scale, we raise institutional capital to fund the remaining 18 locations across New England, reaching a 25-store portfolio over 5 years.

Phased Capital Structure

Phase# StoresFunding SourceEquity RequiredDebt (30% LTV)Total Cost
Phase 1 7 Anchor Investors (this raise) $7.3M $2.9M $10.2M
Phase 2 18 External / Institutional Capital $20.1M $8.6M $28.8M
Total Portfolio 25 Combined $27.5M $11.5M $39.0M

Phase 1 equity is the net capital requirement after each store is recapitalized with 30% debt approximately one year after opening. The recap recycles equity back to anchor investors as new stores ramp.

East Boston: Anchor Acquisition Discount

The portfolio's first location, East Boston, is acquired at a meaningful discount to the cost of building a comparable greenfield store. This is a unique, time-limited opportunity created by the Sullivan estate situation, providing immediate equity value to the founding investors and establishing operating proof-of-concept on day one.

ItemStandard New-Build StoreEast Boston (Anchor Acquisition)Discount
Total All-In Cost $1.6M $600,000 62.5%
Cash Equity Required $1.1M $600,000 46.4%
Debt at Recap (30% LTV) $479,592 $257,143 46.4%

The $519,047 cash savings on East Boston versus a greenfield equivalent provides immediate value accretion to the anchor pool. East Boston is operationally identical to the standard store template (same equipment package, same revenue model, same operating margins) — the discount reflects the seller-specific circumstances rather than any compromise on asset quality.

Anchor Investor Financial Leverage

By committing capital to fund Phase 1, anchor investors join the General Partnership and receive 15.0% of all sponsor fees and 15.0% of carry/promote — not just on the 7 stores they fund, but on the entire 25-store portfolio. The anchor's $7.3M of Phase 1 capital is the structural mechanism that earns this GP slice across the full program.

MetricPhase 1 OnlyFull 25-Store Portfolio
Total Project Value (CAPEX) $10.2M $39.0M
Total Equity in the Deal $7.3M $27.5M
Anchor's Capital Commitment $7.3M $7.3M
Anchor's Sponsor Fee Share 15.0% 15.0%
Anchor's Carry/Promote Share 15.0% 15.0%

The anchor's GP economics — fee share and carry — apply to the full 25-store project base, not just the Phase 1 stores anchors fund directly. Phase 2 institutional LPs put up the $20.1M of Phase 2 equity, but the anchor retains its 15% slice of GP fees and carry on those 18 stores. This is what produces the headline 20.8% net levered IRR / 4.27x net MoM on anchor capital — meaningfully higher than what a Phase 1 LP without GP economics would earn.

Phase 2 Build-Out Timeline

Following stabilization of the 7 anchor stores in 2027, we plan to deploy Phase 2 capital across New England over five years (2028–2032). The expected deployment cadence is shown below; specific markets will be selected based on demographic fit and site availability.

YearNew StoresCumulativeEquity RaiseDebtTotal Capital
2025-2027 (Phase 1)77$7.3M$2.9M$10.2M
2028411$4.5M$1.9M$6.4M
2029415$4.5M$1.9M$6.4M
2030419$4.5M$1.9M$6.4M
2031322$3.4M$1.4M$4.8M
2032325$3.4M$1.4M$4.8M
Total2525$27.5M$11.5M$39.0M

Phase 2 timing is indicative and subject to capital markets conditions, Phase 1 stabilization, and site availability. The $20.1M Phase 2 equity raise is anticipated to come from institutional LPs (PE/RE funds, family offices) attracted by demonstrated unit economics.

Downside Case — 7-Store Anchor Portfolio Only

If Phase 2 institutional capital cannot be raised on attractive terms, the program stops at the 7 anchor stores and anchor investors retain LP returns plus 15% of fees and carry on the Phase 1 stores alone. Returns at this floor remain attractive (16.9% net LP IRR, 3.15x net MoM over the 10-year hold), with anchor capital still recoverable. The 25-store base case GP-layer upside does not materialize, but downside is bounded.

We view Phase 2 capital availability as the highest-impact risk in the deal. The Market Capacity & Saturation Analysis section sizes the addressable demand to confirm Phase 2 expansion is supported by underlying market fundamentals.

Lapel’s Brand & Franchise Partnership

Lapel's Dry Cleaning is an established franchise system offering technology-enabled laundromat and dry cleaning services. The franchise partnership provides several key advantages for Project Ozark:

Brand Recognition: Established presence in the New England market with a reputation for quality service
Technology Platform: Card-based and mobile payment systems, remote monitoring, and data analytics
Operational Playbook: Proven standard operating procedures for staffing, equipment maintenance, and customer service
Purchasing Power: Negotiated equipment and supply pricing through franchise network

Franchise Fee Structure

Fee TypeRateBasis
Up-Front Franchise Fee$30,000One-time per location
Royalty Fee6.0%Gross Revenue
National Advertising2.0%Gross Revenue
Store Advertising1.0%Gross Revenue
Total Ongoing Fees9.0%Gross Revenue
**Lapels Brand Assessment:** The Lapels franchise structure presents a reasonable cost-benefit profile, with a $30,000 initial franchise fee representing just 1.9% of total project costs ($1.6M per location), making the upfront investment relatively modest for accessing an established brand. In exchange, operators receive comprehensive operational systems, marketing support (funded by the 2% national advertising fee), and most critically, proven dry cleaning integration capabilities that generate an additional $225,000 in annual revenue per location. The combined 8% ongoing fee burden (6% royalty + 2% national advertising) is industry-standard and justified by the brand's ability to command premium pricing in urban markets. The franchise model effectively de-risks operations by providing turnkey systems and multi-revenue stream optimization that individual operators would struggle to develop independently.

Value Proposition: Laundromat Business

The coin-operated and technology-enabled laundromat industry offers compelling investment characteristics that differentiate it from other small business and real estate investment opportunities:

Necessity-Based Demand: Laundry is a non-discretionary expense, providing stability through economic cycles
High Barriers to Entry: Significant capital requirements ($1.6M+ per location), limited suitable real estate, and zoning restrictions
Predictable Cash Flows: Revenue driven by consistent, repeat customer behavior with minimal accounts receivable
Low Technology Disruption Risk: Core washing/drying function has remained fundamentally unchanged
Semi-Passive Operations: Technology-enabled monitoring reduces labor requirements versus traditional retail
Multiple Revenue Streams: Washers, dryers, wash-dry-fold service, dry cleaning, vending, and soap products

Revenue Mix (Per Location, Year 1 Stabilized)

Revenue StreamAnnual Revenue% of TotalType
Washers$435,70852.0%Core
Dryers$58,6047.0%Core
Wash-Dry-Fold$75,7819.0%Core
Dry Cleaning / Ancillary$225,00026.8%Value-Add
Soap Products$17,3012.1%Value-Add
Cycle Upgrades$10,8931.3%Value-Add
Vending$14,8291.8%Value-Add
Total Revenue$925,704100%
**Value Proposition** The laundromat model presents compelling revenue diversification opportunities that significantly differentiate it from traditional coin-operated facilities, with ancillary services including wash-dry-fold (15% revenue contribution), dry cleaning ($225K annual revenue per location), vending, and soap sales creating multiple income streams. The platform is well-positioned to capitalize on the accelerating delivery economy trend, as consumers increasingly prioritize convenience and time-saving services over traditional self-service models. This multi-revenue approach reduces dependence on core washing machine cycles while capturing higher-margin service offerings that are less susceptible to economic downturns. The franchise model's built-in revenue diversification provides sustainable competitive advantages and creates natural barriers to entry against single-service competitors.

East Boston Flagship — State of the Art Facility

The Lapel's Laundromat at Liberty Plaza in East Boston represents a paradigm shift from the traditional coin-operated laundromat model. This is not a dimly-lit, self-service coin laundry — it is a modern, fully-attended, technology-enabled facility with premium finishes, institutional-grade equipment, and multiple revenue streams including self-service, wash-dry-fold, dry cleaning, alterations, and pick-up & delivery via Uber.

State-of-the-Art Facility: Customer Service Counter, Product Sales, Vending & Card Access
State-of-the-Art Facility: Customer Service Counter, Product Sales, Vending & Card Access
Full-Service Offerings: Wash-Dry-Fold, Cashless Payment, Pick Up & Delivery, Alterations
Full-Service Offerings: Wash-Dry-Fold, Cashless Payment, Pick Up & Delivery, Alterations
Advanced Equipment & Technology: Cents POS System, Delivery Fleet, Commercial Washers
Advanced Equipment & Technology: Cents POS System, Delivery Fleet, Commercial Washers

East Boston Operating Highlights

94
5-Star Reviews (First 5 Months)
300+
New Customers / Month

The East Boston flagship opened September 2025 and serves as the operational blueprint and training facility for all future Lapel's Laundromat locations nationwide.

East Boston Revenue Ramp

Lapel's vs. Traditional Laundromats: Fast energy-efficient machines (wash+dry < 1 hour), cashless contactless payments, pick-up & delivery via app, multiple revenue streams (WDF, dry cleaning, alterations, product sales), franchisee training & support, and national SEO/marketing dominance. Traditional competitors offer slow machines, cash-only, no delivery, single-dimension income, no branding, and no support infrastructure.

Demographic Analysis

The demographic analysis focuses on the East Boston pilot location at 220 Border Street. Industry statistics indicate the average household that uses a coin laundromat spends approximately $46 per month. For urban locations, it is recommended that no more than 10% of renter-occupied households within a one-mile radius are required at breakeven.

East Boston Demographic Summary (2024 Data)

Metric1-Mile Radius2-Mile Radius3-Mile Radius
Total Population46,100144,708349,557
Total Households19,93266,138154,048
Renter-Occupied HH14,35747,972104,631
Renter %72.0%72.5%67.9%
HH Under $75K Income8,66024,40255,811
Avg. Household Size2.342.162.22
Median Household Income$87,372$106,996$108,871

Target Locations

LocationStatusFirst Cash OutFirst Cash FlowCAPEX
East Boston Operational May 2025 July 2025 $1.6M
Quincy Planned TBD TBD $1.6M
Dorchester Planned TBD TBD $1.6M
Roslindale Planned TBD TBD $1.6M
Waltham Planned TBD TBD $1.6M
Somerville Planned TBD TBD $1.6M
Everett Planned TBD TBD $1.6M
Total (7 Locations)$10.2M

Local Competition (East Boston)

CompetitorDistanceParkingHoursW/D/F Price
Super Laundry Two1 MileLimited6-10 (24hr MTW)$1.50/lb
Neptune Saratoga0.2 MilesNone5:30-12$1.50/lb
Tiny Bubbles0.7 MilesNone6-10None
Neptune Bennington2 MilesYes5:30-12$1.50/lb
**Demographics Assessment:** The targeted Greater Boston trade areas demonstrate strong demand-to-capture fundamentals, with dense urban neighborhoods characterized by high concentrations of renters, young professionals, and multi-family housing units that typically lack in-unit laundry facilities. The demographic profile across East Boston, Quincy, Dorchester, Roslindale, Waltham, Somerville, and Everett reveals a compelling mix of income-constrained households and time-pressed dual-income families who represent the core customer segments for both self-service and wash-dry-fold offerings. Population density metrics and household formation trends in these markets support the assumed 4 turns per day utilization, particularly given the limited competitive laundromat supply relative to the addressable renter population. The trade areas' demographic stability and ongoing gentrification patterns provide confidence in sustained demand growth aligned with the modeled quarterly revenue increases of 1.25% through year four.

Market Capacity & Saturation Analysis

The 25-store base case rests on an underlying assumption: the Greater Boston market can absorb 25 tech-enabled franchise laundromats without the program running into demand saturation. This section sizes the addressable market in Greater Boston, validates that 25 stores represents a reasonable share of underlying laundromat demand (rather than a stretch into an oversupplied market), and frames Providence as the natural next-market thesis when Boston build-out is complete.

Methodology

We size laundromat-addressable demand using a four-step funnel: Total Population → Total Households → Renter-Occupied Households → Renter Households Without In-Unit Laundry. Renter households without in-unit laundry are the structural target customer for laundromats — owner-occupied housing in this region typically includes in-unit washer/dryer hookups, while older multi-family rental stock (triple-deckers, walk-up apartments, urban brownstones) often does not. Industry benchmarks suggest a single store at full utilization serves approximately 2,000 laundromat-dependent households (Coin Laundry Association industry guidance · ~6–8 turns/customer/month at standard store throughput). Saturation capacity = dependent households ÷ 2,000.

Greater Boston Demand Funnel & Existing Supply

Boston-Cambridge-Newton MSA — Demand Funnel & Existing SupplyBars 5-7 represent store counts converted to households-equivalent at 2,000 HH/store for visual comparison with demand layersTotal Population 4.92M 100% Total Households 1.95M 39.6% Renter Households 749K (15.2%) Without In-Unit Laundry — Dependent Demand (est.) 277K (5.6%) Saturation Capacity (~138 stores at ~2K dependent HH/store) 276K (5.6%) Existing Legacy Supply (~280 stores, fragmented) 560K (11.4%) Existing Branded/Franchised (~11 stores, ~4% of supply) 22K (0.4%) Lapel's Target Footprint (25 stores) 50K (1.0%)

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2022 5-Year Estimates (population, households, renter-occupied units); TOC-23 estimate of in-unit laundry penetration based on ACS housing characteristics & multi-family stock age; Coin Laundry Association industry benchmarks for per-store coverage. Existing supply count from Yelp/Google business listings density survey. The chart shows ~280 existing legacy laundromats in Greater Boston, of which only ~11 (~4%) are branded or franchised — the remainder are single-operator independents with dated equipment. Lapel's 25-store target represents only ~9% of total existing supply but ~227% of current branded supply, making this a consolidation opportunity rather than greenfield expansion.

Providence Demand Funnel & Existing Supply (Phase 3 Market)

Providence-Warwick MSA — Demand Funnel & Existing SupplyBars 5-7 represent store counts converted to households-equivalent at 2,000 HH/store for visual comparison with demand layersTotal Population 1.68M 100% Total Households 660K 39.4% Renter Households 230K (13.7%) Without In-Unit Laundry — Dependent Demand (est.) 97K (5.8%) Saturation Capacity (~48 stores at ~2K dependent HH/store) 96K (5.7%) Existing Legacy Supply (~110 stores, fragmented) 220K (13.1%) Existing Branded/Franchised (~3 stores, ~3% of supply) 6K (0.4%) Lapel's Target Footprint (12 stores) 24K (1.4%)

Same methodology as Boston. Note the higher in-unit laundry deficit (42% est.) reflecting Rhode Island’s older housing stock — particularly the prevalence of pre-WWII multi-family construction in Providence, Pawtucket, Central Falls, and Woonsocket where in-unit hookups are uncommon. ~110 existing laundromats in the metro, of which only ~3 are branded. A 12-store Lapel's footprint would more than triple the current branded supply in Providence.

Demographic Snapshot — Boston vs. Providence

Metric Boston-Cambridge-Newton MSA Providence-Warwick MSA Strategic Implication
Total Population 4,915,000 1,676,000 Boston ~3x Providence; Providence still substantial
Total Households 1,948,000 660,000 Renter-skewed in both markets
Renter-Occupied Households 749,000 (38.4%) 230,000 (34.8%) Both above U.S. average (~35%); Boston #1 metro renter share in Northeast
Median Household Income $113,000 $84,000 Boston is wealthier overall; Providence is value-tier
Median Renter Income $71,500 $47,800 Lower renter income ⇒ higher reliance on out-of-unit laundry
Est. Renters Without In-Unit Laundry 277,130 (37%) 96,600 (42%) Older housing stock in Providence drives higher dependency rate
College & Graduate Enrollment 248,000 84,000 Student renters are reliable laundromat users (no in-unit in dorms/student housing)
Existing Laundromat Supply (est.) ~280 ~110 1 per ~17,553 pop. (Boston) vs. 1 per ~15,236 (Providence)
Branded / Franchised Share ~4% (~11 stores) ~3% (~3 stores) Highly fragmented; Lapel’s opportunity is to consolidate via tech-enabled premium offering
Estimated Saturation Capacity ~138 stores ~48 stores At ~2,000 dependent HH per store

Lapel’s Penetration vs. Saturation

Lapel's Penetration vs. Market Saturation Capacity Greater Boston Metro Existing: 280 Lapel's: 25 stores Saturation: ~138 Providence Metro (Phase 3) Existing: 110 Lapel's: 12 stores Saturation: ~48 Penetration of saturation capacity: Boston 18% · Providence 25% · Both markets retain meaningful headroom relative to estimated saturation.

The 25-store Phase 1+2 deployment in Greater Boston represents an 18% share of estimated saturation capacity — a meaningful presence but well short of saturation. Importantly, the existing supply of ~280 stores already exceeds the saturation estimate; this reflects the heavily fragmented, sub-scale nature of the legacy laundromat market (single-operator, dated equipment, no brand). Lapel’s thesis is not to compete against unmet demand but to displace legacy operators with a tech-enabled, branded, premium offering. A 25-store branded footprint represents only ~9% of existing supply — entirely consistent with what franchised premium operators have achieved in adjacent service categories (e.g., car washes, fitness studios) over comparable horizons.

Providence offers an analogous opportunity at ~25% of Boston’s scale. A 12-store Phase 3 deployment would represent 25% of estimated Providence saturation capacity, leveraging the same playbook with an even higher per-capita concentration of laundromat-dependent renters (lower median income, older housing stock, dense student population). We see Providence as the logical next market once Boston build-out approaches completion in roughly Year 6–7 of the program.

Sequenced Market Roll-Out

Phase Market Stores Timeline Capital Source Strategic Role
Phase 1 Greater Boston (urban core) 7 2025-2027 Anchor Investors Establish operating record & GP platform
Phase 2 Greater Boston + MetroWest + North Shore + Worcester 18 2028-2032 Institutional LPs Scale to ~18% of Boston saturation capacity
Phase 3 Providence-Warwick MSA (RI/MA) ~12 2032-2036 (indicative) Reinvested cash flow + add'l LP capital Replicate Boston playbook in next-most-attractive Northeast metro
Total Addressable Boston + Providence (Northeast U.S.) ~37 stores 10+ year horizon Combined ~20% of two-MSA estimated saturation

Phase 3 is indicative and not part of the current capital request; included to frame the addressable runway beyond the 25-store base case. Other candidate Phase 3+ markets in declining order of fit include Hartford-Springfield, Worcester (if not absorbed in Phase 2), and Manchester-Nashua.

Capacity Validation Summary: The 25-store Greater Boston program represents approximately 18% of estimated laundromat-dependent saturation capacity and ~9% of existing fragmented legacy supply. We do not view market capacity as the binding constraint on the 25-store base case — site selection, capital availability for Phase 2, and execution velocity are higher-impact constraints. Providence offers an additional ~48 stores of headroom at saturation, with ~12 stores deliverable on a similar template in a Phase 3 horizon, sufficient to extend the program well into the 2030s. Demographic conditions in both metros — high renter share, older multi-family housing stock, large student populations, and meaningful renter income tiers below the broader median — structurally favor the laundromat use case relative to U.S. averages.

Financial Model Summary

The financial model projects a 10-year hold period with a 7-location portfolio ramping from 1 operational store (East Boston) to full deployment by 2028. Key assumptions include 4 turns per day, quarterly revenue growth of 1.2% in years 2-4 and 0.8% in years 5-10, and an all-equity capital structure (no debt).

Up-Front Cost Per Location

Cost CategoryAmount
Laundry Equipment Package$748,000
Leasehold Improvements / Build-Out$550,000
Working Capital$75,000
Design, Permits & Signage$85,000
Franchise Fee & Training$37,000
Legal, Finance & Licensing$24,500
Other (Security, Insurance, Misc)$79,139
Total Per Location$1.6M

10-Year Consolidated Proforma

Year20262027202820292030203120322033203420352036
Total Revenue$1.0M$4.4M$5.8M$6.1M$6.4M$6.6M$6.8M$7.0M$7.2M$7.4M$7.7M
Total Expenses$796,696$3.4M$4.3M$4.5M$4.6M$4.8M$4.9M$5.0M$5.2M$5.3M$5.5M
Net Income$206,691$1.0M$1.5M$1.6M$1.7M$1.8M$1.9M$2.0M$2.0M$2.1M$2.2M
Net Margin20.6%23.4%25.2%26.3%27.2%27.7%27.9%28.1%28.3%28.5%28.7%

Cash-on-Cash Return by Year

The model demonstrates strong operating leverage characteristics, with fixed costs (rent, insurance, maintenance) representing approximately 40% of total expenses while variable costs scale directly with utilization. The expense growth assumption of 0.625% quarterly (2.5% annually) creates meaningful compression against revenue growth of 1.25% quarterly in years 2-4, driving margin expansion of ~150 basis points annually during the stabilization period. The aggressive 4 turns per day assumption across all locations implies peak utilization scenarios that may not account for market saturation or competitive dynamics in dense urban markets like Boston. The model's sensitivity to the turn rate assumption is amplified by the high fixed cost base, where a 10% variance in utilization would materially impact cash flow generation given the $125K+ annual fixed cost burden per location.

Full 25-Store Program Economics

This section presents the full economics of the 25-store base case — the cash flows to LP equity, the 3-way GP split among Vazza/TOC-23/Anchor, and the combined return picture for an Anchor Investor (Phase 1 LP + 15% GP across all 25 stores). Numbers are pulled from the live Consolidated_25Store, MoM_IRR_25Store, and Anchor_Returns sheets in the model.

25-Store Portfolio — Headline Returns

Total Capital Invested$27,457,130 · sum of all equity contributions across 25 stores 2026-2032
Total Operating Distributions (Years 2026-2035)$46,036,903
Net Disposition Proceeds (Year 10 = 2035)$56,313,066 · calculated as 2036 OpInc ÷ exit cap rate × (1 - selling costs)
Total Distributions to Capital$102,349,969
Unlevered IRR / MoM (gross)34.0% / 3.73x
Levered IRR / MoM (gross to LP)41.8% / 5.39x
Net LP IRR / MoM (after sponsor carry)36.2% / 3.78x

Levered MoM uses net equity invested (capital contributions minus debt drawn at recap) rather than gross capital, to reflect the LP's actual out-of-pocket. Net LP IRR/MoM applies the sponsor carry waterfall to the levered LP cash flow stream.

3-Way Sponsor Economics — Total Comp Across 25 Stores

Sponsor Role GP Split Total Fees + Carry % of GP Pool
Richard Vazza Lead Sponsor · deal sourcing, real estate, operational oversight 60% $21,497,260 60.0%
TOC-23 Co-Sponsor · capital raise, IC oversight, financial reporting 25% $8,957,192 25.0%
Anchor Investors Phase 1 LP and GP partner with 15% of fees/carry across all 25 stores 15% $5,374,315 15.0%
Total GP Pool Combined sponsor compensation across the 25-store program 100% $35,828,767 100.0%

Anchor Investor Combined Returns (Phase 1 LP + 15% GP Across 25 Stores)

Anchor Investor Combined Returns — $7.31M Capital → $31.21M DistributionsPhase 1 LP cash flows on $7.31M of equity, plus 15% of GP fees and carry across the full 25-store programAnchor Capital Invested $7.31M Phase 1 LP Distributions $25.83M GP Comp (25-store fees + carry) $5.37M Total Anchor Distributions (LP + GP) $31.21M 4.27x Net MoM (LP+GP) 20.8% Net IRR (LP+GP) 15% Anchor GP Stake

The Anchor Investor commits $7,314,284 to fund Phase 1 LP equity and joins the General Partnership with a 15% slice of fees and carry across all 25 stores. The combined return picture has two distinct sources:

Source of Cash Flow Description Total to Anchor Notes
Phase 1 LP Distributions 100% of the 7-store Phase 1 LP cash flow stream (operating distributions + disposition proceeds − debt service − sponsor carry on Phase 1) $25,831,270 Available as standalone in 7-store downside
GP Slice (across 25 stores) 15% of all sponsor fees (5% of revenue) + 15% of carry above pref hurdles, accruing across the entire 25-store program $5,374,315 Incremental upside from 25-store base case
Total Anchor Distributions Combined LP cash flows on Phase 1 + GP share of fees/carry on 25 stores $31,205,586 4.27x MoM · 20.8% IRR

Base Case vs Downside — Anchor Returns Comparison

Metric Downside (7-Store Only) Base Case (25-Store) Incremental from Phase 2
Anchor Capital Invested $7,314,284 $7,314,284 $0
Phase 1 LP Distributions $25,831,270 $25,831,270 $0
GP Comp from Anchor Slice ~$1,504,808 (7 stores) $5,374,315 (25 stores) ~$3,869,507
Anchor MoM 3.74x 4.27x +0.53x MoM

7-store downside GP comp estimated as 7/25 of the 25-store GP comp (Anchor's 15% slice scales linearly with stores). Actual downside GP comp depends on per-store revenue ramp and may differ slightly. The key takeaway: Phase 2 expansion adds ~$3,869,507 of pure GP-layer upside to the Anchor with no additional capital commitment.

Why the 25-store base case matters for Anchor returns: The Anchor's bounded downside is the 7-store outcome — Phase 1 LP returns plus a small slice of Phase 1 GP economics. The Anchor's upside is the 18 additional Phase 2 stores, which the Anchor does not have to fund (institutional capital takes that LP slot) but on which the Anchor still captures 15% of fees and carry as a GP partner. That GP-layer economics on stores the Anchor didn't fund is the structural advantage of joining the GP. In the model, this incremental upside translates to roughly $3,869,507 of additional comp beyond what a Phase 1 LP-only investor would receive — meaningful uplift on a $7.31M capital base.

Sensitivity Analysis — Anchor (LP + GP)

The sensitivity analysis below presents the Anchor's combined LP + GP returns across the 25-store program under varying turns-per-day (operational performance) and per-store leverage (capital structure) assumptions. All figures are net, levered, and inclusive of GP economics — meaning they reflect what an Anchor Investor actually earns on Phase 1 capital after fees, after debt service, and including the 15% slice of GP fees and carry across all 25 stores.

The base case is highlighted: 4 turns/day at 30% per-store leverage, producing 20.8% net IRR and 4.27x net MoM on $7.3M of anchor capital. Disposition is assumed at end of Year 10 (2035) at 7.00x EBITDA per the Assumptions sheet.

Anchor Net Levered IRR & MoM (LP + GP Combined)

Anchor Returns Sensitivity — Turns per Day vs. Leverage

Two-dimensional sensitivity of Anchor combined LP + GP returns on Phase 1 capital across the full 25-store program. Base case = 4.0 turns/day, 30% leverage per store (highlighted).

Anchor Net Levered MoM (LP + GP Combined)

Rows = Leverage per Store · Columns = Turns per Day

Leverage per Store \ Turns per Day3.544.5
02.41x3.52x4.46x
30%3.01x4.27x5.45x
60%4.00x6.12x8.27x

Anchor Net Levered IRR (LP + GP Combined)

Rows = Leverage per Store · Columns = Turns per Day

Leverage per Store \ Turns per Day3.544.5
012.0%17.8%21.8%
30%15.0%20.8%25.4%
60%19.0%27.0%33.6%

Source: TOC-23 Project Ozark Detail Model · ReturnSensitivityMatrix.xlsx · 25-Store Anchor View

Anchor Capital Required by Leverage

Anchor capital scales inversely with per-store leverage. East Boston is always all-cash ($600K) regardless of leverage assumption; the remaining 6 Phase 1 stores recap at (1 − leverage) cash equity. The matrix below shows how anchor capital required varies with the leverage assumption:

ScenarioPer-Store LeverageAnchor Capital RequiredAnchor IRR (LP+GP, 4 turns)Anchor MoM (LP+GP, 4 turns)
All-Cash0%$10,191,83417.8%3.52x
Base Case30%$7,314,28420.8%4.27x
Higher Leverage60%$4,436,73427.0%6.12x

All scenarios assume the same 4 turns/day base case operations and identical Phase 2 build-out schedule (4/4/4/3/3 stores in 2028–2032). Higher leverage produces higher returns on smaller capital but increases per-store debt service exposure. The base case 30% LTV is recommended for balancing return profile with debt service coverage.

Downside Floor — Worst Case in the Matrix

The worst combination in the sensitivity matrix is 3.5 turns/day with no leverage: Anchor still earns 12.0% net IRR / 2.41x net MoM on $10.2M of capital. This represents a meaningful downside floor — even if turns underperform by 12.5% AND the program elects to operate without store-level debt, anchor capital is still recovered with double-digit returns. The 7-store-only scenario (no Phase 2 build-out) is documented separately in the Strategy section.

Operational Sensitivity Reference

VariableRange TestedAnchor IRR Sensitivity (LP+GP, base leverage)
Turns per Day3.5 − 4.515.0% ↔ 25.4% (range ≈ 10pp at 30% leverage)
Per-Store Leverage0% − 60%17.8% ↔ 27.0% (range ≈ 9pp at 4.0 turns)
Exit Multiple5.95x − 8.05xRoughly ±3pp on Anchor IRR per ±15% exit multiple shift
Hold Period8 − 12 yrsShorter hold raises IRR but lowers MoM; 10-yr base balances both
**Sensitivity Analysis** The investment exhibits significant asymmetric sensitivity to customer turn-rates, where downside scenarios (sub-3.5 turns/day) compress returns more severely than upside scenarios enhance them due to the high fixed cost structure inherent in laundromat operations. The 30% leverage amplifies this asymmetry, creating a favorable risk/return profile in base and upside cases but magnifying downside exposure if traffic assumptions prove optimistic. Portfolio diversification across seven locations provides some mitigation, though concentrate geographic exposure to the Greater Boston market limits true diversification benefits during broader economic stress.

Market Assessment & Valuation Benchmarks

The following market data is sourced from 6 industry reports to contextualize Project Ozark’s financial projections against broader laundromat industry benchmarks.

Sources: BizBuySell Valuation Report, GCF Coin-Operated Laundries Valuation, TryCents Laundromat Profit Guide, KMF Laundromat Valuation Guide 2026, Lapel's Opportunity Fund Memorandum, Lapel's Prospect Brochure

Industry Transaction Benchmarks (BizBuySell, 2021–2025)

MetricMarket MedianProject Ozark (Per Loc.)
Annual Revenue$219,878$925,704
Owner Earnings / SDE$76,560$204,539
Earnings Margin35.8%22.1%
Sale Price (Median)$250,000
Revenue Multiple1.33x
Earnings Multiple3.65x7.0x (exit)
Transactions Analyzed855
Metric (GCF 2025)Industry Avg.
Average Revenue$704,399
Average SDE$205,738
Average EBITDA$166,982
Price / Revenue1.13x
Price / SDE3.24x
Price / EBITDA4.28x
Cash Flow Margin32%
Industry Success Rate95%
Industry ROI Range20–35%

Valuation Multiple Context

Laundromats command premium valuations relative to other service businesses, driven by their essential-service nature, recurring demand, low labor costs, and passive-income appeal. The BizBuySell data shows laundromats trading at a 3.65x average earnings multiple — significantly above the all-service average of 2.62x and nearly double that of dry cleaners (2.09x).

Service SectorMedian RevenueRev. MultipleEarnings MultipleMedian Sale Price
Laundromats & Coin Laundry$219,8781.33x3.65x$250,000
Dry Cleaners$360,0000.76x2.09x$250,000
Commercial Laundry$198,0001.25x2.83x$250,000
Cleaning & Janitorial$433,3270.70x2.19x$260,000
All Service Businesses$455,0000.86x2.62x$325,000

EBITDA Multiple Distribution (PPMVIC/EBITDA — Coin Laundry Comps)

Analysis of 35 comparable coin laundry transactions reveals a wide range of EBITDA multiples, with upper-percentile transactions supporting premium valuations for institutional-quality portfolios like Project Ozark.

PercentilePPMVIC/EBITDA MultipleImplication for Project Ozark
25th Percentile3.0xBelow-average single-unit, basic operations
Median (50th)4.2xTypical single-unit laundromat transaction
75th Percentile5.5xAbove-average operations, better equipment/location
90th Percentile10.5xPremium multi-unit / branded / institutional-quality assets
Mean6.2xSkewed higher by institutional transactions

Source: GCF 2025 Market Data, n=35 transactions. PPMVIC = Pure Play Market Value of Invested Capital. Project Ozark’s 7.0x exit assumption falls between the 75th percentile (5.5x) and 90th percentile (10.5x), reflecting a justified premium for a multi-unit, branded franchise portfolio with institutional-quality operations.

Transaction Trends (2021–2025)

Project Ozark Premium Justification

Project Ozark’s 7.0x EBITDA exit multiple exceeds the industry average of 4.28x (GCF) to 3.65x (BizBuySell). This premium is supported by:

1. Multi-Unit Portfolio Effect — A 7-location portfolio commands a control premium vs. individual laundromats (typical market data reflects single-unit transactions).

2. Branded Franchise — Lapel’s is the first nationally recognized laundromat brand; branded operations trade at significant premiums to independent operators.

3. Technology-Enabled Operations — Cashless payments, POS integration, remote monitoring, and app-based ordering differentiate from the typical coin-op model and attract higher-quality buyers.

4. Institutional-Quality Underwriting — Standardized build-outs, proven prototype, professional management, and audited financials make the portfolio attractive to PE and franchise consolidators.

5. Diversified Revenue Streams — Self-service, WDF, dry cleaning, alterations, delivery, and product sales provide multiple income layers vs. the single-stream coin-op model captured in market data.

**Market Assessment:** The Greater Boston laundromat market presents attractive fundamentals driven by high population density, significant rental housing stock, and limited competition in targeted neighborhoods like East Boston, Quincy, and Dorchester. Market dynamics favor the asset-light franchise model, as rising commercial real estate costs create barriers to entry for independent operators while established franchises benefit from operational economies of scale. The 4 turns per day assumption reflects strong market demand in urban markets where in-unit laundry penetration remains below suburban levels. Current market cap rates in the 7-8% range for stabilized laundromat assets support the projected 7x exit multiple, particularly given the defensive cash flow characteristics during economic downturns.

Exit Multiple Analysis

The base case assumes a 25-store portfolio disposition at the end of Year 10 (2035) at 7.00x EBITDA, producing a 14.3% cap rate. Selling costs are assumed at 5.0% of gross proceeds. The disposition is valued on forward Year 11 (2036) operating income per the standard "exit cap rate × forward NOI" methodology used by institutional buyers.

Disposition Waterfall — 25-Store Portfolio

ComponentAmount
Year 11 Forward Operating Income (EBITDA proxy)$8.5M
Exit Multiple7.00x
Gross Disposition Value$59.3M
Less: Selling Costs (5.0%)($3.0M)
Net Disposition Proceeds$56.3M

Project-Level Return Waterfall — 25-Store Portfolio (10-Year Hold)

ComponentAmount
Total Capital Invested (25 Stores, Phases 1+2)($27.5M)
Cumulative Operating Cash Flow (2025–2035)$46.0M
Net Disposition Proceeds (2035)$56.3M
Total Distributions$102.3M
Total Profit$74.9M
Unlevered IRR / MoM34.0% / 3.73x
Levered IRR / MoM41.8% / 5.39x
Net LP IRR / MoM (post-carry, all LPs)36.2% / 3.78x

The "Net LP" line above represents what a generic LP investor (no GP economics) earns on a dollar invested into either Phase 1 or Phase 2. The Anchor Investor — who funds Phase 1 capital and joins the GP — earns a layered return: 100% of Phase 1 LP cash flows plus 15% of all GP fees and carry across the full 25 stores.

Anchor-Specific Return Waterfall — LP + GP Combined

ComponentAmount
Anchor Capital Committed (Phase 1)($7.3M)
Phase 1 LP Distributions (operating + Phase 1 share of disposition)$25.8M
15% of GP Fees + Carry across All 25 Stores$5.4M
Total Anchor Distributions$31.2M
Total Anchor Profit$23.9M
Anchor Net Levered MoM (LP + GP)4.27x
Anchor Net Levered IRR (LP + GP)20.8%

Anchor capital is recovered in Q1 2032 (~6.2 years from initial commitment). Operating distributions cover the cost basis before the disposition event; the 2035 exit is incremental upside.

Sponsor Economics — Three-Way GP Split (60% / 25% / 15%)

TermVazza (Lead — 60%)TOC-23 (25%)Anchor Investors (15%)
Sponsor Fee (% of Revenue)3.0%1.2%0.8%
Preferred Return (Hurdle 1)8.0%
Carry Above Pref 124.0%10.0%6.0%
GP Catch-Up (Sponsor Share During Catch-Up)50.0%
Preferred Return (Hurdle 2)15.0%
Carry Above Pref 230.0%12.5%7.5%

After investors receive their 8.0% preferred return, the sponsor is entitled to a 50.0% catch-up on excess distributions until the promote allocation is equalized. Carry rates above each hurdle are then split among Vazza (60%), TOC-23 (25%), and Anchor Investors (15%) as shown. Anchor Investors who fund the Phase 1 capital raise become full GP participants, sharing in fees and promote alongside the institutional sponsors — a structural feature designed to reward early conviction.

**Exit Analysis** The portfolio's buyer universe will likely include established laundromat operators seeking scale economies, private equity firms targeting recession-resistant cash flow businesses, and individual entrepreneurs attracted to the asset-light, essential services model. This seven-location Greater Boston portfolio differentiates itself through geographic density enabling operational synergies, modern equipment reducing near-term capex needs, and proven unit economics across diverse neighborhood demographics. The disposition proceeds represent a critical component of investor returns given the extended development timeline and substantial upfront capital requirements, making execution risk on the exit particularly important to overall fund performance. Strategic buyers may ascribe premium valuations due to the portfolio's market saturation potential and established local operating platform.

Risk Summary

Phase 2 Capital Markets Risk: The 25-store vision depends on raising approximately $20.1M of institutional equity for Phase 2 — a successful Phase 1 operating record across 7 stores is required to attract that capital on attractive terms; if institutional appetite is unavailable, the portfolio remains a 7-store anchor business at Phase 1 returns
Execution Risk: Six of seven Phase 1 locations remain to be built out, requiring site selection, lease negotiation, permitting, and construction management
East Boston Acquisition Risk: The $600,000 acquisition price reflects negotiations with the Sullivan estate following Mr. Sullivan's December 2025 passing; closing timing remains subject to estate proceedings
Market Risk: Competition from existing laundromats and potential new entrants in target neighborhoods
Ramp-Up Risk: New locations require 6-12 months to reach stabilized revenue (60% initial capacity assumed)
Lease Risk: Favorable lease terms must be secured for 24 additional locations at approximately $35/sqft + $9/sqft CAM
Labor Risk: Greater Boston labor market is competitive; model assumes $15-20/hour wage rates
Equipment Risk: $748K equipment package per location requires ongoing maintenance ($5K/year assumed)
Concentration Risk (Phase 1): All 7 anchor locations in Greater Boston metro area, creating early geographic concentration; Phase 2 expansion across New England diversifies this exposure
Sponsor Risk: Reliance on Richard Vazza as lead sponsor for development expertise and local relationships
Franchise Risk: Ongoing royalty and advertising fees of 10% reduce operating margins versus independent operation

**Risk Summary:** The investment faces significant execution concentration risk, as 86% of projected locations remain in planning phases with undefined timelines for cash flow generation, creating substantial uncertainty around return realization. Management's ability to simultaneously execute site selection, lease negotiations, and operational ramp-up across six markets will be critical to achieving the modeled returns. The phased rollout approach provides valuable risk mitigation by allowing operational learnings from East Boston to inform subsequent locations and preserving capital deployment flexibility based on early performance metrics. However, delays in the expansion timeline could materially impact IRR given the back-loaded cash flow profile inherent in this multi-location rollout strategy.

Investment Recommendation

Recommendation: APPROVE the 25-Store Project Ozark program ($39.0M of total project value across New England), to be funded in two phases beginning with the $7.3M Phase 1 Anchor Equity capital deployment that establishes the operating record and General Partnership platform for the full program.

The investment committee is asked to approve this opportunity based on the following merits:

25-Store Base Case is the Investment Thesis: The opportunity is a programmatic franchise platform — not a single deal — with $39.0M of total project value addressable over five years across New England
Anchor GP Partnership: Phase 1 anchor capital of $7.3M buys a 15% slice of fees and carry across all 25 stores — capturing GP economics on the 18 Phase 2 stores funded by institutional LPs without committing additional anchor capital
Bounded Downside (7-Store Floor): If Phase 2 institutional capital cannot be raised, anchors retain LP returns of 16.9% net IRR / 3.15x net MoM plus 15% of fees and carry on the 7 anchor stores — an attractive standalone outcome even in the absence of Phase 2 expansion
Market Capacity Validated: 25 stores represents 14–18% of estimated Greater Boston laundromat-dependent demand; Providence offers an additional ~12 stores of headroom for Phase 3 expansion if desired (see Market Capacity)
Founding-Location Discount (All-Cash): East Boston acquired all-cash at $600,000 — 46.4% below standard cash equity ($519,047 of capital savings) — with zero debt on the founding asset
Proof of Concept: East Boston operational since mid-2025, validating the business model and revenue assumptions
Experienced Sponsorship: Richard Vazza’s local development expertise combined with Lapel’s franchise operational support
Conservative Underwriting: 4 turns/day (vs. 4.0 upside), 30% LTV recap debt at the store level (East Boston unlevered), and conservative exit multiple
Recession Resistance: Necessity-based business with stable, recurring cash flows
Portfolio Diversification: Phase 2 New England expansion across MetroWest, North Shore, Worcester, and Providence diversifies geographic concentration
Clear Path to Scale: Templated approach proven at East Boston enables efficient rollout of remaining 24 locations

Capital Action (Phase 1): Approve the $7.3M anchor equity commitment (net of 30% per-store debt recapitalization after one year of stabilized operations), with capital raise target by June 1, 2026 and funding in Q2 2026. Full Program Authorization: Authorize the GP to pursue Phase 2 institutional capital ($20.1M equity + $8.6M debt for 18 stores) upon achievement of Phase 1 milestones.

**Recommendation:** PROCEED with investment, subject to implementing robust operational monitoring protocols given the multi-location rollout complexity. Establish monthly performance dashboards tracking turns-per-day variance against the 4.0x assumption across all locations, with quarterly deep-dives into labor efficiency metrics and ancillary revenue penetration rates. Given the franchise model's operational leverage, institute early warning systems for equipment maintenance cycles and utility cost inflation to protect projected margins. The phased development timeline requires milestone-based capital deployment controls, with each subsequent location's funding contingent upon the prior location achieving stabilized operations within 180 days of opening.

📊 Detailed Financial Model

> ⬇ Download TOC23_ProjectOzark_DetailModel_31Mar26.xlsx

Source model dated March 31, 2026. Contains full proforma, assumptions, waterfall, and sensitivity tabs.

Important Disclosures

This report may include information about your accounts at various custodians and supplied by third party investment managers, administrators and the client. The reporting technology is provided by a third-party vendor that is not affiliated with Inflection Capital Management, LLC ("ICM") dba The Ogelthorpe Collective, LLC. (TOC-23"). The factual information provided has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness and we assume no liability for damages resulting from or arising out of the use of such information. Additionally, because we do not render legal or tax advice, this report should not be regarded as such.

Although every attempt has been made to make the information contained herein as complete as possible, its accuracy is not guaranteed by ICM and should not be considered as a replacement for confirmations, statements and tax forms that should be retained for tax purposes you receive from your custodian(s) or other financial institutions. Those statements are your primary source of information regarding your holdings, valuations, transactions, and other important and relevant disclosures applicable to your accounts and investments. You are encouraged to compare the account information in this report with the account information sent to you by your custodian. The information contained in this report is not the official record of your account(s) and investments. It has been prepared to assist you with your investment planning and is for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation for a purchase or sale of any securities or other financial instrument. The data contained in this report should not be used as a sole basis for making any financial decisions and is provided for informational purposes only. Information as to current ownership and cost basis of assets held at other financial institutions is based upon information provided to ICM by the client.

Values of assets "held away" are manually entered based on the information from your current statement(s) provided by the respective Fund(s) or the management of the Investment. We have not reviewed, independently valued, verified, compared to other pricing sources or otherwise performed due diligence on said valuation information and historical data and make no representations or warranties with respect to its accuracy. If there are any discrepancies between this consolidated investment summary report and your individual account statement(s), you should rely on your individual account statements as provided by the Fund, or the management of the Investment.

The performance data quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate and thus an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less that their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than return data quoted herein. All performance data, while obtained from sources deemed to be reliable, are not guaranteed for accuracy.

Indices which might be included in this report are for purposes of comparing your returns to the returns on a broad-based index of securities most comparable to the types of securities held in your account(s). Although your account(s) invest in securities which are generally similar in type to the related indices, the particular issuers, industry segments, geographic regions, and weighting of investments in your account do not necessarily track the index. The indices assume reinvestment of dividends and are unmanaged, not available for direct investment and do not reflect the deduction of fees or expenses.

Projected income does not represent actual income and should not be interpreted as an indication of such. Actual income may be materially lower than projections. Forward looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond the control of ICM. There can be no assurance that projections will match realized outcomes.

Any market commentary represents the opinion of ICM. The views are subject to change at any time based on market conditions and are current as of the date indicated on the materials. This is not intended to be a forecast of future events or guarantee of future results. It is not intended to provide specific advice or to be construed as an offering of securities or recommendation to invest.

Data sourced from TOC-23 Project Ozark Financial Model dated March 31, 2026. Demographic data from 2024 census estimates. All projections are forward-looking and subject to the risks and uncertainties described herein.